*************************************************************************************************
* Documentation for Reproduction of
* Senator Opposition to Supreme Court Nominations: Reference Dependence on the Departing Justice
* 2010. Legialative Studies Quarterly 35(3): 393-416.
* L.J Zigerell
* Stata version 9
*************************************************************************************************
*************************************************************************************************
set more off
set mem 500m
* use "Zigerell 2013 Senator Opposition.dta", clear [This is the command to load the dataset]
*************************************************************************************************
*************************************************************************************************
drop if senvote != 1

*************************************************************************************************
* code dependent variables

gen senopp = recordprot
recode senopp (0=1) (1=0) /* this is for any senator who had a known opinion on the nomination */

gen rollcallcon = rollcallpro
recode rollcallcon (0=1) (1=0) /* this is for any senator who voted on the nomination */

*************************************************************************************************
* code ideological variables

gen seat = abs(baileynom - baileys) - abs(baileydepj - baileys)
gen med = abs(baileynmedj - baileys) - abs(baileyfmedj - baileys)
gen ideo = abs(baileynom - baileys)

*************************************************************************************************
* code control variables

gen nomlackqual = -1 * nomscqual

replace presdisappvote = presdisappvote / 100

gen presgop = presdem
recode presgop (1=0) (0=1)
gen diffparty = .
replace diffparty = 1 if sendem != presdem
replace diffparty = 1 if sengop != presgop
replace diffparty = 0 if sendem == presdem
replace diffparty = 0 if sengop == presgop

*************************************************************************************************
* testing the seat change hypothesis

summ rollcallcon
probit rollcallcon seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty, cluster (baileyid)
probit rollcallcon seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty, cluster (nomnum)
tab rollcallcon

summ senopp
probit senopp seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty, cluster (baileyid) /* table 2 col 1 */
probit senopp seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty, cluster (nomnum)
tab senopp

*************************************************************************************************
* empirical results

summ seat if senopp == 1
summ seat if senopp == 0

tab baileysenname if baileys < -2.16
tab state if baileys < -2.16
tab baileysenname if baileys > 2.43
tab state if baileys > 2.43
summ baileys

tab senopp
tab senopp if seat > 0 & seat != .
di 352/410

*************************************************************************************************
* figure 1
tabstat senopp if seat > 0, by(nomnum) stat(sum)
tabstat senopp, by(nomnum) stat(sum)

*************************************************************************************************
* summary statistics reported in Table 1
summ senopp seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty if baileys !=.

*************************************************************************************************
* table 2. model 1
probit senopp seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty, cluster (nomnum)
precalc
collin seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty

* table 2. model 2
probit senopp seat ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty if med==0, cluster (nomnum)
precalc
collin seat ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty if med==0

* table 2. model 3
probit senopp seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty if med!=0, cluster (nomnum)
precalc
collin seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty if med!=0

* table 2. model 4
probit senopp med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty, cluster (nomnum)
precalc
collin med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty

*************************************************************************************************
* robustness checks

// model 1a
probit senopp seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty congvote, cluster (nomnum)
collin seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty congvote

// model 1b
probit rollcallcon seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty, cluster (nomnum)
collin seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty

// model 1c below

// model 1d
probit senopp seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty if nomnum != 22, cluster (nomnum)
collin seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty if nomnum != 22

// model 1e
gen med3 = 0
replace med3 = 1 if med > 0
replace med3 = -1 if med < 0
tab med3 if recordprot !=.
summ med3
probit senopp seat med3 ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty, cluster (nomnum)
collin seat med3 ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty

*************************************************************************************************
* figure 2 note
summ seat if diffparty == 1
summ seat if diffparty == 0

*************************************************************************************************
* figure 3 note
summ seat if med !=0 & baileys !=.
summ seat if med ==0 & baileys !=.

*************************************************************************************************
* predicted probabilities for model 1

estsimp probit senopp seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty, cluster (nomnum)
setx mean
summ seat if diffparty == 0
setx diffparty 0 seat -.3666093-1.038372
simqi
setx diffparty 0 seat -.3666093+1.038372
simqi
summ seat if diffparty == 1
setx diffparty 1 seat .1666609-1.080291  
simqi
setx diffparty 1 seat .1666609+1.080291 
simqi
setx mean
summ ideo if diffparty == 0
setx diffparty 0 ideo .821549-.7180002
simqi
setx diffparty 0 ideo .821549+.7180002
simqi
summ ideo if diffparty == 1
setx diffparty 1 ideo 1.477477-.7151944 
simqi
setx diffparty 1 ideo 1.477477+.7151944  
simqi
setx mean
summ nomlackqual if diffparty == 0
setx diffparty 0 nomlackqual -1
simqi
setx diffparty 0 nomlackqual -.7637344+.2599751 
simqi
summ nomlackqual if diffparty == 1
setx diffparty 1 nomlackqual -1
simqi
setx diffparty 1 nomlackqual  -.7565227+.2723442
simqi

drop b1-b7

*************************************************************************************************
* predicted probabilities for model 2
estsimp probit senopp seat ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty if med==0, cluster (nomnum)
setx mean
summ seat if diffparty == 1
setx diffparty 1 seat .1666609-1.080291
simqi
setx diffparty 1 seat .1666609+1.080291
simqi
drop b1-b6

*************************************************************************************************
* predicted probabilities for model 3
estsimp probit senopp seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty if med!=0, cluster (nomnum)
setx mean
summ seat if diffparty == 1
setx diffparty 1 seat .1666609-1.080291
simqi
setx diffparty 1 seat .1666609+1.080291
simqi
drop b1-b7

*************************************************************************************************
* predicted probabilities for model 4
estsimp probit senopp med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty, cluster (nomnum)
setx mean
summ med if diffparty == 1
setx diffparty 1 med .020475-.1860452
simqi
setx diffparty 1 med .020475+.1860452
simqi
drop b1-b6

*************************************************************************************************
* model 1 again, for model 4 discussion
estsimp probit senopp seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty, cluster (nomnum)
setx mean
setx diffparty 1 med .020475-.1860452
simqi
setx diffparty 1 med .020475+.1860452
simqi
drop b1-b7

*************************************************************************************************
* stats before thomas section
gen totalseatchange = abs(baileynom - baileydepj) if baileys !=.
gen totalmedchange = abs(baileynmedj - baileyfmedj) if baileys !=.
summ totalseatchange totalmedchange

summ baileys if nominee=="Clarence Thomas", de

*************************************************************************************************
* footnote 14

pwcorr seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty, sig obs

*************************************************************************************************
* figure 2

estsimp probit senopp seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty, cluster (nomnum)
setx mean
summ seat if diffparty == 1
setx diffparty 1 seat -2.5
simqi
setx diffparty 1 seat -2.0
simqi
setx diffparty 1 seat -1.5
simqi
setx diffparty 1 seat -1.0
simqi
setx diffparty 1 seat -0.5
simqi
setx diffparty 1 seat 0
simqi
setx diffparty 1 seat 0.5
simqi
setx diffparty 1 seat 1.0
simqi
setx diffparty 1 seat 1.5
simqi
setx diffparty 1 seat 2.0
simqi
setx diffparty 1 seat 2.5
simqi
setx diffparty 1 seat 3.0
simqi

setx mean

summ seat if diffparty == 0
setx diffparty 0 seat -3.0
simqi
setx diffparty 0 seat -2.5
simqi
setx diffparty 0 seat -2.0
simqi
setx diffparty 0 seat -1.5
simqi
setx diffparty 0 seat -1.0
simqi
setx diffparty 0 seat -0.5
simqi
setx diffparty 0 seat 0
simqi
setx diffparty 0 seat 0.5
simqi
setx diffparty 0 seat 1.0
simqi
setx diffparty 0 seat 1.5
simqi
setx diffparty 0 seat 2.0
simqi
setx diffparty 0 seat 2.5
simqi

drop b1-b7

*************************************************************************************************
* figure 3 // no potential median change

estsimp probit senopp seat ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty if med==0, cluster (nomnum)
setx mean
summ seat if med==0
setx seat -1.75
simqi
setx seat -1.25
simqi
setx seat -0.75
simqi
setx seat -0.25
simqi
setx seat 0.25
simqi
setx seat 0.75
simqi
setx seat 1.25
simqi
setx seat 1.75
simqi

drop b1-b6

*************************************************************************************************
* figure 3 // potential median change

estsimp probit senopp seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty if med!=0, cluster (nomnum)
setx mean

summ seat if med != 0
setx seat -3.00
simqi
setx seat -2.50
simqi
setx seat -2.00
simqi
setx seat -1.50
simqi
setx seat -1.00
simqi
setx seat -0.50
simqi
setx seat 0.00
simqi
setx seat 0.50
simqi
setx seat 1.00
simqi
setx seat 1.50
simqi
setx seat 2.00
simqi
setx seat 2.50
simqi
setx seat 3.00
simqi

drop b1-b7

*************************************************************************************************
*************************************************************************************************
* thomas counterfactual

estsimp probit senopp seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty, cluster (nomnum)

* actual Thomas nomination

 // 1 Heflin  H 110 
setx seat -1.08616095 med 0.04 ideo 1.011919525 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 2 Shelby  D 110 
setx seat -1.07694267 med 0.04 ideo 1.016528665 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 3 Murkowski 110 
setx seat -2.509136242 med -0.04 ideo 0.300431879 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 4 Stevens 110 
setx seat -1.877251488 med -0.04 ideo 0.616374256 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 5 Deconcini 110 
setx seat -0.108265996 med 0.04 ideo 1.500867002 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 6 Mccain  J 110 
setx seat -2.210042262 med -0.04 ideo 0.449978869 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 7 Bumpers 110 
setx seat 0.541046706 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.825523353 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 8 Pryor 110 
setx seat 0.0219251420000002 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.565962571 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 9 Cranston 110 
setx seat 2.885164382 med 0.04 ideo 2.997582191 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 10 Seymour 110 
setx seat -2.062810454 med -0.04 ideo 0.523594773 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 11 Brown  H 110 
setx seat -2.56844059 med -0.04 ideo 0.270779705 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 12 Wirth 110 
setx seat 1.30259141 med 0.04 ideo 2.206295705 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 13 Dodd 110 
setx seat 1.396161854 med 0.04 ideo 2.253080927 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 14 Lieberman 110 
setx seat 0.491231374 med 0.04 ideo 1.800615687 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 15 Biden J 110 
setx seat 0.734831038 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.922415519 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 16 Roth 110 
setx seat -2.161005578 med -0.04 ideo 0.474497211 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 17 Graham  B 110 
setx seat 0.265200564 med 0.04 ideo 1.687600282 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 18 Mack  C 110 
setx seat -3.11 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.0380546709999998 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 19 Fowler 110 
setx seat 0.419672098 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.764836049 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 20 Nunn S 110 
setx seat -0.278511266 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.415744367 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 21 Akaka 110 
setx seat 2.774859198 med 0.04 ideo 2.942429599 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 22 Inouye 110 
setx seat 2.32630625 med 0.04 ideo 2.718153125 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 23 Craig  L 110 
setx seat -3.11 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.273379562 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 24 Symms S 110 
setx seat -3.11 med -0.04 ideo 0.777953771 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 25 Dixon  A 110 
setx seat -0.437514692 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.336242654 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 26 Simon 110 
setx seat 2.652310152 med 0.04 ideo 2.881155076 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 27 Coats  D 110 
setx seat -3.08366175 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.0131691250000001 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 28 Lugar 110 
setx seat -2.544138152 med -0.04 ideo 0.282930924 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 29 Grassley 110 
setx seat -2.921981836 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.0940090820000001 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 30 Harkin 110 
setx seat 1.895537948 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.502768974 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 31 Dole 110 
setx seat -2.687881282 med -0.04 ideo 0.211059359 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 32 Kassebaum 110 
setx seat -1.420142246 med 0.04 ideo 0.844928877 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 33 Ford 110 
setx seat -0.64094449 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.234527755 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 34 Mcconnell 110 
setx seat -3.11 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.0915659759999998 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 35 Breaux J 110 
setx seat -0.712672418 med 0.04 ideo 1.198663791 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 36 Johnston J 110 
setx seat -0.829994334 med 0.04 ideo 1.140002833 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 37 Cohen W 110 
setx seat 0.0741920860000005 med 0.04 ideo 1.592096043 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 38 Mitchell  G 110 
setx seat 2.817034122 med 0.04 ideo 2.963517061 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 39 Mikulski 110 
setx seat 1.378343956 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.244171978 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 40 Sarbanes P 110 
setx seat 1.834662742 med 0.04 ideo 2.472331371 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 41 Kennedy  E. 110 
setx seat 2.750747346 med 0.04 ideo 2.930373673 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 42 Kerry  J 110 
setx seat 2.105979546 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.607989773 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 43 Levin  C 110 
setx seat 2.166342468 med 0.04 ideo 2.638171234 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 44 Riegle 110 
setx seat 0.795819642 med 0.04 ideo 1.952909821 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 45 Durenberger 110 
setx seat 0.819160074 med 0.04 ideo 1.964580037 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 46 Wellstone 110 
setx seat 2.588751572 med 0.04 ideo 2.849375786 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 47 Cochran T 110 
setx seat -2.684719382 med -0.04 ideo 0.212640309 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 48 Lott T 110 
setx seat -3.11 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.105397332 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 49 Bond  C 110 
setx seat -2.395069464 med -0.04 ideo 0.357465268 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 50 Danforth 110 
setx seat -0.605829306 med 0.04 ideo 1.252085347 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 51 Baucus 110 
setx seat 0.463298054 med 0.04 ideo 1.786649027 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 52 Burns  Conr 110 
setx seat -3.11 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.07454615 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 53 Exon  J 110 
setx seat -0.687111505999999 med 0.04 ideo 1.211444247 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 54 Kerrey  Rob 110 
setx seat 0.79671102 med 0.04 ideo 1.95335551 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 55 Bryan  Rich 110 
setx seat -0.231170946 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.439414527 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 56 Reid  H 110 
setx seat -0.42821043 med 0.04 ideo 1.340894785 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 57 Rudman  W 110 
setx seat -1.817832856 med -0.04 ideo 0.646083572 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 58 Smith  Rc 110 
setx seat -3.11 med -0.0399999999999998 ideo 0.513738453 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 59 Bradley  W 110 
setx seat 1.030851968 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.070425984 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 60 Lautenberg 110 
setx seat 2.123933478 med 0.04 ideo 2.616966739 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 61 Bingaman 110 
setx seat 0.889627248 med 0.04 ideo 1.999813624 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 62 Domenici P 110 
setx seat -2.04444378 med -0.04 ideo 0.53277811 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 63 Damato  A 110 
setx seat -1.993362036 med -0.04 ideo 0.558318982 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 64 Moynihan 110 
setx seat 1.766503128 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.438251564 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 65 Helms J 110 
setx seat -3.11 med -0.04 ideo 0.662573799 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 66 Sanford  T 110 
setx seat 1.186858264 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.148429132 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 67 Burdick 110 
setx seat 1.6754536 med 0.04 ideo 2.3927268 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 68 Conrad  K 110 
setx seat 0.4482854 med 0.04 ideo 1.7791427 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 69 Glenn 110 
setx seat 1.96678708 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.53839354 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 70 Metzenbaum 110 
setx seat 2.447797018 med 0.04 ideo 2.778898509 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 71 Boren  D 110 
setx seat 0.1270172 med 0.04 ideo 1.6185086 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 72 Nickles  D 110 
setx seat -3.11 med -0.04 ideo 0.323030238 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 73 Hatfield 110 
setx seat 0.446225766 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.778112883 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 74 Packwood 110 
setx seat 0.18799055 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.648995275 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 75 Wofford 110 
setx seat 0.613829102 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.861914551 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 76 Specter  A 110 
setx seat -0.31272475 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.398637625 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 77 Chafee 110 
setx seat 0.495117226 med 0.04 ideo 1.802558613 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 78 Pell 110 
setx seat 2.485870492 med 0.04 ideo 2.797935246 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 79 Hollings 110 
setx seat -0.400463134 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.354768433 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 80 Thurmond 110 
setx seat -3.11 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.164866339 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 81 Daschle 110 
setx seat 0.816552092 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.963276046 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 82 Pressler 110 
setx seat -3.11 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.060951875 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 83 Gore 110 
setx seat 1.42750391 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.268751955 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 84 Sasser 110 
setx seat 0.482002972000001 med 0.04 ideo 1.796001486 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 85 Bentsen 110 
setx seat -0.0818005119999996 med 0.04 ideo 1.514099744 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 86 Gramm  P 110 
setx seat -3.11 med -0.0399999999999998 ideo 0.335868414 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 87 Garn 110 
setx seat -3.11 med -0.0399999999999998 ideo 0.582821501 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 88 Hatch 110 
setx seat -2.995233096 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.0573834520000001 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 89 Jeffords 110 
setx seat 0.713030948000001 med 0.04 ideo 1.911515474 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 90 Leahy 110 
setx seat 1.828875028 med 0.04 ideo 2.469437514 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 91 Robb  Charl 110 
setx seat 0.534600852 med 0.04 ideo 1.822300426 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 92 Warner  J 110 
setx seat -2.409712604 med -0.04 ideo 0.350143698 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 93 Adams 110 
setx seat 1.021640626 med 0.04 ideo 2.065820313 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 94 Gorton  S 110 
setx seat -1.765423346 med -0.015423346 ideo 0.672288327 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 95 Byrd 110 
setx seat -0.287301376 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.411349312 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 96 Rockefeller 110 
setx seat 0.485758662 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.797879331 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 97 Kasten 110 
setx seat -2.345189678 med -0.04 ideo 0.382405161 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 98 Kohl  Herbe 110 
setx seat 1.596629386 med 0.04 ideo 2.353314693 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 99 Simpson  A 110 
setx seat -2.314386828 med -0.04 ideo 0.397806586 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 100 Wallop 110 
setx seat -3.11 med -0.04 ideo 0.473648821 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi

*************************************************************************************************
*************************************************************************************************
* thomas counterfactual nomination

 // 1 Heflin  H 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.011919525 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 2 Shelby  D 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.016528665 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 3 Murkowski 40 
setx seat -0.0991362419999998 med -0.04 ideo 0.300431879 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 4 Stevens 40 
setx seat 0.532748512 med -0.04 ideo 0.616374256 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 5 Deconcini 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.500867002 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 6 Mccain  J 40 
setx seat 0.199957738 med -0.04 ideo 0.449978869 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 7 Bumpers 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.825523353 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 8 Pryor 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.565962571 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 9 Cranston 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 2.997582191 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 10 Seymour 40 
setx seat 0.347189546 med -0.04 ideo 0.523594773 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 11 Brown  H 40 
setx seat -0.15844059 med -0.04 ideo 0.270779705 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 12 Wirth 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 2.206295705 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 13 Dodd 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 2.253080927 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 14 Lieberman 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.800615687 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 15 Biden J 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.922415519 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 16 Roth 40 
setx seat 0.248994422 med -0.04 ideo 0.474497211 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 17 Graham  B 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.687600282 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 18 Mack  C 40 
setx seat -0.7 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.0380546709999998 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 19 Fowler 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.764836049 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 20 Nunn S 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.415744367 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 21 Akaka 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 2.942429599 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 22 Inouye 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 2.718153125 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 23 Craig  L 40 
setx seat -0.7 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.273379562 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 24 Symms S 40 
setx seat -0.7 med -0.04 ideo 0.777953771 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 25 Dixon  A 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.336242654 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 26 Simon 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 2.881155076 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 27 Coats  D 40 
setx seat -0.67366175 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.0131691250000001 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 28 Lugar 40 
setx seat -0.134138152 med -0.04 ideo 0.282930924 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 29 Grassley 40 
setx seat -0.511981836 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.0940090820000001 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 30 Harkin 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.502768974 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 31 Dole 40 
setx seat -0.277881282 med -0.04 ideo 0.211059359 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 32 Kassebaum 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 0.844928877 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 33 Ford 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.234527755 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 34 Mcconnell 40 
setx seat -0.7 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.0915659759999998 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 35 Breaux J 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.198663791 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 36 Johnston J 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.140002833 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 37 Cohen W 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.592096043 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 38 Mitchell  G 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 2.963517061 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 39 Mikulski 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.244171978 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 40 Sarbanes P 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 2.472331371 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 41 Kennedy  E. 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 2.930373673 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 42 Kerry  J 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.607989773 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 43 Levin  C 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 2.638171234 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 44 Riegle 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.952909821 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 45 Durenberger 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.964580037 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 46 Wellstone 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 2.849375786 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 47 Cochran T 40 
setx seat -0.274719382 med -0.04 ideo 0.212640309 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 48 Lott T 40 
setx seat -0.7 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.105397332 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 49 Bond  C 40 
setx seat 0.0149305360000002 med -0.04 ideo 0.357465268 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 50 Danforth 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.252085347 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 51 Baucus 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.786649027 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 52 Burns  Conr 40 
setx seat -0.7 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.07454615 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 53 Exon  J 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.211444247 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 54 Kerrey  Rob 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.95335551 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 55 Bryan  Rich 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.439414527 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 56 Reid  H 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.340894785 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 57 Rudman  W 40 
setx seat 0.592167144 med -0.04 ideo 0.646083572 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 58 Smith  Rc 40 
setx seat -0.7 med -0.0399999999999998 ideo 0.513738453 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 59 Bradley  W 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.070425984 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 60 Lautenberg 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 2.616966739 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 61 Bingaman 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.999813624 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 62 Domenici P 40 
setx seat 0.36555622 med -0.04 ideo 0.53277811 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 63 Damato  A 40 
setx seat 0.416637964 med -0.04 ideo 0.558318982 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 64 Moynihan 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.438251564 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 65 Helms J 40 
setx seat -0.7 med -0.04 ideo 0.662573799 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 66 Sanford  T 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.148429132 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 67 Burdick 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 2.3927268 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 68 Conrad  K 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.7791427 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 69 Glenn 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.53839354 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 70 Metzenbaum 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 2.778898509 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 71 Boren  D 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.6185086 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 72 Nickles  D 40 
setx seat -0.7 med -0.04 ideo 0.323030238 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 73 Hatfield 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.778112883 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 74 Packwood 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.648995275 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 75 Wofford 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.861914551 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 76 Specter  A 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.398637625 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 77 Chafee 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.802558613 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 78 Pell 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 2.797935246 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 79 Hollings 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.354768433 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 80 Thurmond 40 
setx seat -0.7 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.164866339 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 81 Daschle 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.963276046 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 82 Pressler 40 
setx seat -0.7 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.060951875 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 83 Gore 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.268751955 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 84 Sasser 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.796001486 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 85 Bentsen 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.514099744 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 86 Gramm  P 40 
setx seat -0.7 med -0.0399999999999998 ideo 0.335868414 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 87 Garn 40 
setx seat -0.7 med -0.0399999999999998 ideo 0.582821501 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 88 Hatch 40 
setx seat -0.585233096 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.0573834520000001 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 89 Jeffords 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.911515474 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 90 Leahy 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 2.469437514 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 91 Robb  Charl 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 1.822300426 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 92 Warner  J 40 
setx seat 0.000287396000000162 med -0.04 ideo 0.350143698 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 93 Adams 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 2.065820313 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 94 Gorton  S 40 
setx seat 0.644576654 med -0.015423346 ideo 0.672288327 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 95 Byrd 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.411349312 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 96 Rockefeller 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.797879331 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 97 Kasten 40 
setx seat 0.0648103220000001 med -0.04 ideo 0.382405161 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 98 Kohl  Herbe 40 
setx seat 0.7 med 0.04 ideo 2.353314693 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 1
simqi 
 // 99 Simpson  A 40 
setx seat 0.0956131720000001 med -0.04 ideo 0.397806586 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi 
 // 100 Wallop 40 
setx seat -0.7 med -0.04 ideo 0.473648821 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.28 diffparty 0
simqi

drop b1-b7

*************************************************************************************************
*************************************************************************************************
* bork counterfactual

estsimp probit senopp seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty, cluster (nomnum)

* actual bork nomination

// 1 Shelby  D 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 0.581884286 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 2 Heflin  H 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 0.43437559 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 3 Murkowski 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.04 ideo 0.035255731 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 4 Stevens 110 
 setx seat 0.289702046 med -0.04 ideo 0.339851023 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 5 Mccain  J 110 
 setx seat -0.321555266 med -0.04 ideo 0.0342223669999999 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 6 Deconcini 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 0.676810725 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 7 Pryor 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 0.874459841 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 8 Bumpers 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.260699383 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 9 Wilson 110 
 setx seat -0.33520648 med -0.04 ideo 0.02739676 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 10 Cranston 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 2.543168485 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 11 Armstrong W 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.538608801 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 12 Wirth 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.816295705 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 13 Dodd 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.810382095 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 14 Weicker 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.347782681 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 15 Roth 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.04 ideo 0.0151796700000001 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 16 Biden J 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.402202827 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 17 Chiles L 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.058514286 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 18 Graham  B 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 0.890205778 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 19 Fowler 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.374836049 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 20 Nunn S 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 0.82731141 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 21 Matsunaga 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 2.397588853 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 22 Inouye 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.34035805 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 23 Symms S 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.304938275 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 24 Mcclure 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.0399999999999998 ideo 0.95945867 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 25 Dixon  A 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.086638982 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 26 Simon 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 2.547054962 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 27 Lugar 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.15618543 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 28 Quayle 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.203177073 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 29 Grassley 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.04 ideo 0.187613933 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 30 Harkin 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.051696454 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 31 Kassebaum 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 0.4966031 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 32 Dole 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.04 ideo 0.058569677 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 33 Mcconnell 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.503205529 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 34 Ford 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 0.653561488 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 35 Johnston J 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 0.561639997 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 36 Breaux J 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 0.58824024 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 37 Mitchell  G 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 2.493665299 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 38 Cohen W 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.470893666 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 39 Mikulski 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.840455809 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 40 Sarbanes P 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 2.020165637 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 41 Kennedy  E. 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 2.557855592 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 42 Kerry  J 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.240194871 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 43 Riegle 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.726778362 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 44 Levin  C 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 2.225967696 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 45 Durenberger 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.439405231 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 46 Boschwitz 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 0.812200528 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 47 Stennis 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 0.77397657 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 48 Cochran T 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.205226455 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 49 Bond  C 110 
 setx seat -0.279982384 med -0.04 ideo 0.055008808 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 50 Danforth 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 0.996845042 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 51 Baucus 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.354660753 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 52 Melcher 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.411836126 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 53 Exon  J 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 0.555087195 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 54 Karnes D 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.539713063 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 55 Hecht 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.04 ideo 0.670785346 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 56 Reid  H 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 0.768955838 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 57 Humphrey  G 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.376582246 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 58 Rudman  W 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 0.571337192 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 59 Lautenberg 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.250987287 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 60 Bradley  W 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.604970859 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 61 Domenici P 110 
 setx seat 0.013802458 med -0.04 ideo 0.201901229 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 62 Bingaman 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.473174003 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 63 Damato  A 110 
 setx seat -0.096214372 med -0.04 ideo 0.146892814 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 64 Moynihan 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 2.117053874 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 65 Sanford  T 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.758429132 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 66 Helms J 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.04 ideo 1.10840142 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 67 Burdick 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.882901136 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 68 Conrad  K 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.411859764 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 69 Metzenbaum 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.243289769 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 70 Glenn 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 2.118168863 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 71 Nickles  D 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.631011559 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 72 Boren  D 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 0.871709407 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 73 Packwood 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.391386235 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 74 Hatfield 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.468389562 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 75 Specter  A 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.077068675 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 76 Heinz H 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 0.939096652 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 77 Pell 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.251815947 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 78 Chafee 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.638783517 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 79 Thurmond 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.608863987 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 80 Hollings 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 0.857698968 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 81 Pressler 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.268186808 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 82 Daschle 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.085691187 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 83 Sasser 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.193238676 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 84 Gore 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.878751955 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 85 Bentsen 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.054167333 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 86 Gramm  P 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.0399999999999998 ideo 0.993949845 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 87 Hatch 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.396080558 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 88 Garn 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.04 ideo 0.896261981 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 89 Stafford 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.393491478 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 90 Leahy 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.060593376 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 91 Trible 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.288249114 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 92 Warner  J 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.04 ideo 0.125241067 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 93 Adams 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.675820313 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 94 Evans  D 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.851706586 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 95 Byrd 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 0.865315205 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 96 Rockefeller 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.338579341 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 97 Proxmire 110 
 setx seat 0.39 med 0.04 ideo 1.174329458 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi 
// 98 Kasten 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.04 ideo 0.064893414 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 99 Wallop 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.0399999999999998 ideo 0.690285771 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi 
// 100 Simpson  A 110 
 setx seat -0.39 med -0.04 ideo 0.0591202820000001 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi

* bork counterfactual nomination

// 1 Shelby  D 110 
 setx seat -1.276231428 med 0.04 ideo 0.581884286 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 2 Heflin  H 110 
 setx seat -1.57124882 med 0.04 ideo 0.43437559 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 3 Murkowski 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.04 ideo 0.035255731 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 4 Stevens 110 
 setx seat -1.760297954 med -0.04 ideo 0.339851023 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 5 Mccain  J 110 
 setx seat -2.371555266 med -0.04 ideo 0.0342223669999999 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 6 Deconcini 110 
 setx seat -1.08637855 med 0.04 ideo 0.676810725 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 7 Pryor 110 
 setx seat -0.691080318 med 0.04 ideo 0.874459841 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 8 Bumpers 110 
 setx seat 0.081398766 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.260699383 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 9 Wilson 110 
 setx seat -2.38520648 med -0.04 ideo 0.02739676 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 10 Cranston 110 
 setx seat 2.44 med 0.04 ideo 2.543168485 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 11 Armstrong W 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.538608801 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 12 Wirth 110 
 setx seat 1.19259141 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.816295705 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 13 Dodd 110 
 setx seat 1.18076419 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.810382095 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 14 Weicker 110 
 setx seat 2.255565362 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.347782681 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 15 Roth 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.04 ideo 0.0151796700000001 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 16 Biden J 110 
 setx seat 0.364405654 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.402202827 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 17 Chiles L 110 
 setx seat -0.322971428 med 0.04 ideo 1.058514286 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 18 Graham  B 110 
 setx seat -0.659588444 med 0.04 ideo 0.890205778 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 19 Fowler 110 
 setx seat 0.309672098 med 0.04 ideo 1.374836049 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 20 Nunn S 110 
 setx seat -0.78537718 med 0.04 ideo 0.82731141 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 21 Matsunaga 110 
 setx seat 2.355177706 med 0.04 ideo 2.397588853 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 22 Inouye 110 
 setx seat 2.2407161 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.34035805 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 23 Symms S 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.304938275 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 24 Mcclure 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.0399999999999998 ideo 0.95945867 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 25 Dixon  A 110 
 setx seat -0.266722036 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.086638982 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 26 Simon 110 
 setx seat 2.44 med 0.04 ideo 2.547054962 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 27 Lugar 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.15618543 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 28 Quayle 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.203177073 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 29 Grassley 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.04 ideo 0.187613933 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 30 Harkin 110 
 setx seat 1.663392908 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.051696454 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 31 Kassebaum 110 
 setx seat -1.4467938 med 0.04 ideo 0.4966031 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 32 Dole 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.04 ideo 0.058569677 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 33 Mcconnell 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.503205529 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 34 Ford 110 
 setx seat -1.132877024 med 0.04 ideo 0.653561488 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 35 Johnston J 110 
 setx seat -1.316720006 med 0.04 ideo 0.561639997 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 36 Breaux J 110 
 setx seat -1.26351952 med 0.04 ideo 0.58824024 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 37 Mitchell  G 110 
 setx seat 2.44 med 0.04 ideo 2.493665299 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 38 Cohen W 110 
 setx seat 0.501787332 med 0.04 ideo 1.470893666 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 39 Mikulski 110 
 setx seat 1.240911618 med 0.04 ideo 1.840455809 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 40 Sarbanes P 110 
 setx seat 1.600331274 med 0.04 ideo 2.020165637 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 41 Kennedy  E. 110 
 setx seat 2.44 med 0.04 ideo 2.557855592 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 42 Kerry  J 110 
 setx seat 2.040389742 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.240194871 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 43 Riegle 110 
 setx seat 1.013556724 med 0.04 ideo 1.726778362 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 44 Levin  C 110 
 setx seat 2.011935392 med 0.04 ideo 2.225967696 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 45 Durenberger 110 
 setx seat 0.438810462 med 0.04 ideo 1.439405231 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 46 Boschwitz 110 
 setx seat -0.815598944 med 0.04 ideo 0.812200528 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 47 Stennis 110 
 setx seat -0.89204686 med 0.04 ideo 0.77397657 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 48 Cochran T 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.205226455 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 49 Bond  C 110 
 setx seat -2.329982384 med -0.04 ideo 0.055008808 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 50 Danforth 110 
 setx seat -0.446309916 med 0.04 ideo 0.996845042 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 51 Baucus 110 
 setx seat 0.269321506 med 0.04 ideo 1.354660753 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 52 Melcher 110 
 setx seat 0.383672252 med 0.04 ideo 1.411836126 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 53 Exon  J 110 
 setx seat -1.32982561 med 0.04 ideo 0.555087195 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 54 Karnes D 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.539713063 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 55 Hecht 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.04 ideo 0.670785346 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 56 Reid  H 110 
 setx seat -0.902088324 med 0.04 ideo 0.768955838 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 57 Humphrey  G 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.376582246 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 58 Rudman  W 110 
 setx seat -1.297325616 med 0.04 ideo 0.571337192 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 59 Lautenberg 110 
 setx seat 2.061974574 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.250987287 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 60 Bradley  W 110 
 setx seat 0.769941718 med 0.04 ideo 1.604970859 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 61 Domenici P 110 
 setx seat -2.036197542 med -0.04 ideo 0.201901229 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 62 Bingaman 110 
 setx seat 0.506348006 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.473174003 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 63 Damato  A 110 
 setx seat -2.146214372 med -0.04 ideo 0.146892814 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 64 Moynihan 110 
 setx seat 1.794107748 med 0.04 ideo 2.117053874 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 65 Sanford  T 110 
 setx seat 1.076858264 med 0.04 ideo 1.758429132 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 66 Helms J 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.04 ideo 1.10840142 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 67 Burdick 110 
 setx seat 1.325802272 med 0.04 ideo 1.882901136 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 68 Conrad  K 110 
 setx seat 0.383719528 med 0.04 ideo 1.411859764 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 69 Metzenbaum 110 
 setx seat 2.046579538 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.243289769 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 70 Glenn 110 
 setx seat 1.796337726 med 0.04 ideo 2.118168863 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 71 Nickles  D 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.631011559 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 72 Boren  D 110 
 setx seat -0.696581186 med 0.04 ideo 0.871709407 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 73 Packwood 110 
 setx seat 0.34277247 med 0.04 ideo 1.391386235 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 74 Hatfield 110 
 setx seat 0.496779124 med 0.04 ideo 1.468389562 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 75 Specter  A 110 
 setx seat -0.28586265 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.077068675 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 76 Heinz H 110 
 setx seat -0.561806696 med 0.04 ideo 0.939096652 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 77 Pell 110 
 setx seat 2.063631894 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.251815947 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 78 Chafee 110 
 setx seat 0.837567034 med 0.04 ideo 1.638783517 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 79 Thurmond 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.608863987 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 80 Hollings 110 
 setx seat -0.724602064 med 0.04 ideo 0.857698968 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 81 Pressler 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.268186808 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 82 Daschle 110 
 setx seat -0.268617626 med 0.04 ideo 1.085691187 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 83 Sasser 110 
 setx seat -0.053522648 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.193238676 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 84 Gore 110 
 setx seat 1.31750391 med 0.04 ideo 1.878751955 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 85 Bentsen 110 
 setx seat -0.331665334 med 0.04 ideo 1.054167333 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 86 Gramm  P 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.0399999999999998 ideo 0.993949845 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 87 Hatch 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.396080558 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 88 Garn 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.04 ideo 0.896261981 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 89 Stafford 110 
 setx seat 0.346982956 med 0.04 ideo 1.393491478 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 90 Leahy 110 
 setx seat 1.681186752 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 2.060593376 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 91 Trible 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.0399999999999999 ideo 0.288249114 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 92 Warner  J 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.04 ideo 0.125241067 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 93 Adams 110 
 setx seat 0.911640626 med 0.0399999999999998 ideo 1.675820313 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 94 Evans  D 110 
 setx seat 1.263413172 med 0.04 ideo 1.851706586 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 95 Byrd 110 
 setx seat -0.70936959 med 0.04 ideo 0.865315205 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 96 Rockefeller 110 
 setx seat 0.237158682 med 0.0399999999999999 ideo 1.338579341 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 97 Proxmire 110 
 setx seat -0.0913410840000002 med 0.04 ideo 1.174329458 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 1
simqi
// 98 Kasten 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.04 ideo 0.064893414 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 99 Wallop 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.0399999999999998 ideo 0.690285771 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi
// 100 Simpson  A 110 
 setx seat -2.44 med -0.04 ideo 0.0591202820000001 nomlackqual -1*0.415 presdisappvote 0.42 diffparty 0
simqi

*************************************************************************************************
*************************************************************************************************
* Model 1c
* re-run the analysis with a change to fortas and rehnquist 1986 medians
* recode for eight-member interim court
probit senopp seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty, cluster (nomnum)
replace baileynmedj = -0.55 if nomnum == 22
replace baileynmedj = -0.07 if nomnum == 31
drop med
gen med = abs(baileynmedj - baileys) - abs(baileyfmedj - baileys)
probit senopp seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty, cluster (nomnum)
collin seat med ideo nomlackqual presdisappvote diffparty

clear
*************************************************************************************************
*************************************************************************************************
